Group Discussions

 

Group C:

 

Themes/Issues of Discussion

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Risk Assessment in Privatisation and Public-Private

Partnership (Economic, Financial, Social, Political)

 

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Follow-up Recommendations for NAM CSSTC

 

 

Discussion Outcomes

 

1.  Political Risks

●  Change in leadership

●  Result of ‘bad’ privatisation and PPP

●  Lack of transparency:

-  Lead to political unrest

-  Change of review/reversal

●  Interference/manipulation of the system by privatised players (MNCs)

●  Changing/Fluctuation legal commitment/political will

●  Political unrest

●  Nationalistic feeling/sovereignty issues

 

2.  Economic Risks

●  Unsuitable pricing policy/mismatch of demand & supply in the long term

●  Global/regional economic crisis

●  Macro economic stability

●  Lack of good corporate governance

●  Unemployment --> trade unions --> social unrest

●  Adverse fluctuation in exchange rates

 

3.  Financial Risks

●  Valuation of assets:

-  Less --> government loses

-  More --> investors lose

●  Companies with huge liabilities with existing government guarantees:

-  Government exposed to risk

-   Nature of the asset

 

4.  Social Risks

●  Quality of good/services

●  Lack of enforceable laws/faulty regulatory mechanism

●  Social unrest

●  Unaffordability/lack of the goods/services

●  Sense of relative depravation

●  Gap between expectations/fulfillment

 

5.  Institutional Risks

●  Lack of regulatory framework in place

●  Efficient judiciary

●  Stage of development of financial system/capital market

 

6.  Political Risks - Recommendations

●  Political will/commitment

●  Political reform:

-  Good governmence

-  Transparency/accountability

●  International regulations

●  Develop clear guidelines/procedures for privatisation and PPP

●  Massive PR/awareness

             ●  Building of political consensus

 

7.  Economic Risks - Recommendations

●  Sound economic policies

●  Early warning system (networking of information amongst financial

    institutions)

●  Good corporate governance

 

8.  Financial Risks - Recommendations

●  Prudent/independent valuation of assets

●  Proper development of financial institutions

 

9.  Social Risks - Recommendations

●  Establish enforceable/good regulatory framework

●  Social security safety net

●  Establish standards/monitoring system

●  Reward/punishment

             ●  PR Awareness programme

 

10. Institutional Risks - Recommendations

●  Proper regulatory framework

●  Proper development of financial system/capital market

●  Efficient judiciary